Brazilian population will shrink by 2100, says UN

Brazil will have a population by 2100 lower than today. Data released on Wednesday, 29 by the United Nations (UN) reveal, for the first time in five years, new estimates for the world population during the 21st century. If the world is forecast to surpass the current 7, 3 billion people to 11.2 billion in 85 years, Brazil will rise from 207 million registered in 2015 to 200 million in 2100.

Of the fifth largest population in the world today, Brazil will fall to 13th place in the ranking by 2100, surpassed by Egypt, Uganda, Ethiopia. Brazilian society is also named by the UN as one of the world's largest populations with low fertility rates in the coming years.

The shrinking of the country, however, will not occur immediately. According to projections, the Brazilian population will continue to increase in the first half of the century and, in 35 years, will reach its peak with 238 million people in 2047. From 2050, however, the country will begin to shrink at lower birth rates. low and following the pattern that already occurs in rich countries. Thus, in the year 2100, Brazil will total 200 million people. Brazil will not be the only one to report such behavior. In Colombia, the country will rise from its current 48 million inhabitants to 45 million by 2100. Rich countries will also show strong stability.

World population

In the rest of the world, however, the projection is that demographic expansion will be even greater than imagined in 2010. At that time, it was estimated that the planet would arrive in 2050 with 9.6 billion people. Now the forecast is 9.7 billion, 100 million more. For 2100, the figure points to 11.2 billion. Projection estimates world population will reach 9.7 billion people by 2050, with fastest growth in developing regions, especially Africa, UN says

India is expected to become the country with the largest population, surpassing China by 2022, while Nigeria could surpass the United States by 2050. "Understand the demographic changes that may unfold in the coming years, as well as the The challenges and opportunities they pose for achieving sustainable development is the key to designing and implementing a new development agenda, "said UN Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs, Wu Hongbo.

According to the report, entitled World Population Overview: The 2015 Review, a significant portion of world population growth can be attributed to a short list of countries with high fertility, mainly in Africa, and countries that already have a population number. high. Between 2015 and 2050, half of world population growth is expected to be concentrated in nine countries: India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Tanzania, the United States, Indonesia and Uganda. These locations were listed according to their contribution to total growth.

Changes in population rankings

China and India are the two largest countries in the world, each with over 1 billion people, representing 19 and 18% of the world's population, respectively. But by 2022, the Indian population is expected to surpass the Chinese. Currently, among the ten largest countries in the world, one is in Africa (Nigeria), five are in Asia (Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia and Pakistan), two are in Latin America (Brazil and Mexico), one is in South America. North (United States) and one is in Europe (Russia).

Of these, Nigeria's seventh-largest population index has been growing faster. As a result, the country's population is estimated to exceed that of the United States by 2050, which would make Nigeria the third largest nation in the world. The forecast points to six countries having more than 300 million people by 2050: China, India, Indonesia, Nigeria, Pakistan and the United States.

By Jamil Chad, Correspondent, and Camila Santos, AE Special - Geneva and Sao Paulo

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